Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 105.402116 121.396317 140.339863 164.814516 196.186483 2.359181e+02 2.915504e+02
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 91.323974 113.406235 142.885722 186.866474 254.327972 3.611203e+02 5.621739e+02
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 77.579684 100.419384 133.064051 186.254579 278.259686 4.504722e+02 8.721561e+02
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 68.263442 91.018330 125.204660 184.796614 298.493263 5.457250e+02 1.343080e+03
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 60.769516 82.784929 117.097870 180.073673 310.076316 6.322028e+02 2.010169e+03
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 55.544683 77.121939 111.881187 178.794634 327.878328 7.513307e+02 3.335822e+03
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 51.700106 73.049250 108.512916 179.967633 351.769690 9.175178e+02 6.562387e+03
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 47.429592 67.767065 102.225547 173.774889 355.009537 1.020507e+03 1.174138e+04
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 45.844336 66.706139 103.226578 183.011758 404.539438 1.408229e+03 8.239399e+04
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 42.621353 62.534115 97.921734 177.105624 407.078242 1.573694e+03 1.110806e+06
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 40.600581 60.241079 95.866157 178.263993 433.423967 1.975395e+03 NaN
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 38.536685 57.684191 92.981300 176.824103 450.695656 2.393697e+03 NaN
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 37.607064 57.267777 94.684861 188.471180 531.467046 4.153209e+03 NaN
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 37.809642 58.966512 101.084535 215.320233 715.678467 1.387906e+04 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 35.866956 56.434970 98.080562 214.554133 764.730191 2.671312e+04 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 34.070035 54.017081 95.001079 212.756465 808.824134 6.147310e+04 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 32.205046 51.315707 90.962190 206.945077 822.784187 1.409757e+05 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 30.776236 49.359012 88.400767 205.373957 868.477215 1.549157e+06 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 29.648260 47.908482 86.840125 206.814776 943.947374 NaN NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 28.126582 45.565958 82.934635 199.219041 934.490392 NaN NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 27.703675 45.404678 84.213469 210.558426 1129.320585 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 26.405133 43.367104 80.710564 203.301008 1119.189898 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 25.606432 42.309963 79.529797 204.722478 1219.475264 NaN NaN